If you don’t know about the FiveThirtyEight blog you should check it out. Nate Silver has successfully predicted just about every election race in the last few years. He uses data and statistics to reach his conclusions, rather more subjective measures. I just finished reading his take on the effect of voter identification laws, and I must say that I am feeling better after having done so.
His continuing analysis of the projected electoral vote is heartening too: 295.9 for the President and 242.1 for Romney. Supposedly he is never wrong, so let’s hope this lead continues to hold up or increase.
Again, check out the FiveThirtyEight blog. It’s way cool.
1 comment:
I hope Nate Silver is correct in his assesment of the net outcome and that it favors the Republicans. If we need picture IDs to fly and engage in organized sports or attend school, we should be more than willing to prove who we are to perform the most important act in a Democratic Republic. I suspect yours and Silver confidence that Obama will be reelected is misplaced. Most polls tend to undercount Republicans and Obama has just spent 100 million to attack Romney's character, with little effect. The election will most likely be about the economy, which means Obama loses.
PS Loyeen and I are bringing our daughter Shannon to the Reno Tahoe area for a week long softball tournment. Hopefully it is little cooler than it is in Denver.
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