Monday, July 30, 2012

Why we can’t control guns & ammo

Sunday’s San Francisco Chronicle’s “Insight” section had a very good article titled “The Politics of Gun Control,” which I recommend that you read.  One of the main points of the article is that we on the side of controlling guns and ammo are victims of what I would call a “fervor gap.”  This quote from the final paragraphs of the article explains:

But why do the so-called "assault weapons" have so much political power in the United States of 2012? Because the minority of people who want these weapons available care deeply about such gun policies. The majority of Americans support a ban on such weapons, but they don't really care much about the subject.

Thus, the intensity of feeling by gun control's opponents is the trump card in the modern politics of gun control. Whatever sentiments that mass shootings provoke in the nominal supporters of gun control, they don't seem to run very deep or very long. Most of the moderates and liberals who support gun control care more about other issues.

That both defines the problem gun control advocates face and shows why they react with passionate immediacy to mass shootings. Their real hope - the thing that would really make "this time" different in the moral career of American gun control - is not that the gun lobby would care less or see reason, it is rather the hope of increasing the salience of gun control to moderate and liberal constituencies.

The sense of insecurity that comes when schoolrooms and shopping centers and multiplex movie theaters become shooting galleries for the unhinged inspires fear out of proportion to the statistical risks it represents. But not for very long. And that has undermined the ability to mobilize the public concerns into gun control policy.

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Voter suppression … ugly repercussions

Okay, I’m back on my obsession with voter suppression.  (Hey, that’s a catchy rhyme!)  A part the whole analysis that is often overlooked is what would happen if Romney squeaked out a win “by a margin smaller than the number of young and minority voters who couldn’t cast ballots because the photo-identification laws enacted by Republican governors and legislators kept them from the polls.”  The foregoing quoted portion comes from Harold Meyerson’s column in today’s WaPo, which you can read here.

My own belief is that it will be just as ugly as Harold predicts, only worse.  I’m not envisioning riots and blood in the streets …… yet.  But it will be four years of a president even less legitimate than George W. Bush, and God help us if we lose the Senate.  And, of course there would be at least one more right wing justice  appointed to the Supreme Court because Ginsberg is not going to last another 4 years.  I’m too old now to pull up stakes and move to Canada, but if the above scenario came to pass and I were still in my 20’s or 30’s I would seriously consider it. 

Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Voter suppression–a more optimistic take

If you don’t know about the FiveThirtyEight blog you should check it out.  Nate Silver has successfully predicted  just about every election race in the last few years.  He uses data and statistics to reach his conclusions, rather more subjective measures.  I just finished reading his take on the effect of voter identification laws, and I must say that I am feeling better after having done so.

His continuing analysis of the projected electoral vote is heartening too:  295.9 for the President and 242.1 for Romney.  Supposedly he is never wrong, so let’s hope this lead continues to hold up or increase.

Again, check out the FiveThirtyEight blog.  It’s way cool.

Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Beautiful Ruins

“The smaller the space between your desire and what is right, the happier you will be.”

~~From the novel "Beautiful Ruins" by Jess Walter

A couple of weeks ago I read “Beautiful Ruins” and was totally knocked out.  It is one of the best novels I’ve ever read.  I highly recommend it.  If you are curious, you can read an excellent review of the book here.

Tuesday, July 10, 2012

A new, improved look…

I found a new template for this blog that I really like.  It’s much better than the one I started with, and I was beginning to hate on the last one I was using.  This one is clean and simple.  Hope you will enjoy it with me into the future.
~ Tom

Voter suppression redux dux dux dux

I continue to be very, very concerned about this issue.  Here’s more fuel on my bonfire of  worry.

Thursday, July 5, 2012

Voter suppression redux-dux-dux

Those who read this blog know well that my biggest fear is that the President will be defeated because of GOP voter suppression laws passed in States with a Republican governor and legislature.  I’m getting more freaked out every day!  Here’s the latest downer.

Dang!  This is going to be 2000/Bush/Gore all over again.  Shame on the Jim Crow right wing.